Will Kansas City win at least 80 games this season?
Prediction markets currently give a 34% probability that Will Kansas City win at least 80 games this season?. This contract trades at 34¢ on Kalshi, closing November 8, 2026. This market shows extreme illiquidity and volatility despite a modest $5,527 open interest, with zero 24-hour volume and a wide 13¢ spread creating significant execution risk.
Analysis
This market shows extreme illiquidity and volatility despite a modest $5,527 open interest, with zero 24-hour volume and a wide 13¢ spread creating significant execution risk. The 69¢ price has collapsed 23¢ over seven days (from 60¢ to 46¢ currently showing inconsistency in your data), suggesting either deteriorating team prospects or thin-market price discovery issues given the 1094% realized volatility. With 205 days to expiration and an information arrival rate of only 0.7 events per hour, this illiquid contract carries substantial cliff risk and should be approached cautiously by retail traders.
Resolution rules
If Kansas City has 80+ wins in the 2026 pro baseball team regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Indicators
Regime
Trade
sf trade KXMLBWINS-KC-26-T80 yes 100