What is the current probability for "Will Barcelona win the 2025-26 UEFA Women's Champions League?"?

This prediction market is currently priced at 71¢ (71% implied probability) on Polymarket. It closes on May 24, 2026. 27 days remaining.

What is the implied yield on "Will Barcelona win the 2025-26 UEFA Women's Champions League?"?

The annualized implied yield on the YES side is 576.4% and 3138.0% on the NO side. Implied yield measures the annualized return if the contract is held to expiry and resolves in your favor.

Where can I trade "Will Barcelona win the 2025-26 UEFA Women's Champions League?"?

This market trades on Polymarket, a blockchain-based prediction market. You can also analyze it with SimpleFunctions — AI-powered indicators, regime detection, and autonomous trading across both venues.

Will Barcelona win the 2025-26 UEFA Women's Champions League?

Name: SimpleFunctions
Author: SimpleFunctions

Prediction markets currently give a 71% probability that Will Barcelona win the 2025-26 UEFA Women's Champions League?. This contract trades at 71¢ on Polymarket, closing May 24, 2026.

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71¢

Bid/Ask 62/80¢·Spread 18¢·Vol $0·OI $299.447·Closes May 24, 2026·27d remaining

0x75a458c6fcc93f68dfa31d6a82867ee6cceb6523af95f0de7e28dab3ffba1d58

7-day price32 snapshots · 2 regime

78¢70¢ current

Apr 2670¢Apr 26

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed club is determined as the champion of the 2025-26 UEFA Women’s Champions League. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed participant to be named as the champion of 2025-26 UEFA Women’s Champions League season per the rules of UEFA Women’s Champions League (e.g., participant is eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If multiple teams are declared winners, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically. If this event is cancelled, postponed after June 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or a champion has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source will be official information from UEFA; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 576.4%

IY (No) 3138.0%

Adj IY 2510%

CRI 2

RV 450%

VR 1.97

▶ Full indicator table (9)

Indicator	Value	Meaning
IY (Yes)	576.4%	Annualized return if held to expiry, YES side
IY (No)	3138.0%	Annualized return, NO side
Adj IY	2510%	Risk-adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets and high friction
CRI	2	Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market approaches resolution
RV	450%	Realized Volatility — annualized stddev from 48h price history
VR	1.97	Vol Ratio — realized vol / theoretical max. >0.8 very active, <0.1 dead
IAR	1.9/h	Info Arrival Rate — meaningful price changes per hour (48h)
Overround	0.2%	Multi-outcome arb signal across the event family
LAS	0.20	Liquidity Availability Score

Regime

Label

neutral

Score

0.5

Spread

18¢

Computed

4/26/2026, 8:50:48 PM

Has orderbookIndicators computed 4/26/2026, 8:38:48 PM

Trade

View on polymarket →sf trade 0x75a458c6fcc93f68dfa31d6a82867ee6cceb6523af95f0de7e28dab3ffba1d58 yes 100

Related concepts

Implied Yield →Cliff Risk Index →Realized Volatility →