Will the Atlanta Braves win more than 90.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season?

This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume despite $1M in open interest, suggesting the $1.001M figure may reflect stale positions rather than active trading. The 47¢ price implies a below-50% probability for the Braves to exceed 90 wins, which appears conservative given Atlanta's recent competitive positioning, though the 239.7% implied yield on the Yes side reflects the thin liquidity premium rather than fundamental value. The recent 3-cent price decline over 7 days and tight 2¢ spread suggest minimal recent activity, making this a potentially mispriced market if the Braves' 2026 roster remains competitive.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "O 90.5" if the Atlanta Braves win more than 90.5 games during the 2026 MLB Regular Season. If at any point it becomes statistically impossible for the Atlanta Braves to record more than 90.5 wins per the rules of the MLB, the corresponding market will resolve to "U 90.5". If the MLB Regular Season is cancelled, partially completed, or postponed after November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "50-50". The resolution source will be official information from Major League Baseball (https://www.mlb.com/standings/); however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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