Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win more than 99.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season?

This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume despite $1.09M open interest, creating a dangerously wide 32¢ spread and inflated yield metrics (147.7% Yes, 305.9% No) that don't reflect true market consensus. The 58¢ price implies the Dodgers have a 58% chance of exceeding 99 wins in 2026, which is reasonable given their recent performance, but the realized volatility of 108% and low info arrival rate (0.4/h) suggest this market lacks active price discovery with 172 days to expiry. The stagnant 7-day price movement (57¢ to 58¢) combined with neutral regime scoring indicates minimal new information is flowing in, making this a risky venue for serious position-taking.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "O 99.5" if the Los Angeles Dodgers win more than 99.5 games during the 2026 MLB Regular Season. If at any point it becomes statistically impossible for the Los Angeles Dodgers to record more than 99.5 wins per the rules of the MLB, the corresponding market will resolve to "U 99.5". If the MLB Regular Season is cancelled, partially completed, or postponed after November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "50-50". The resolution source will be official information from Major League Baseball (https://www.mlb.com/standings/); however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Regime

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