Will Clayton Johnson win The Bachelorette Season 22?
Prediction markets currently give a 5% probability that Will Clayton Johnson win The Bachelorette Season 22?. This contract trades at 5¢ on Polymarket, closing November 30, 2026. Clayton Johnson's odds have collapsed dramatically, dropping 95% over seven days from 38¢ to 2¢, suggesting either new information about the season's outcome or a significant correction in initial pricing.
Analysis
Clayton Johnson's odds have collapsed dramatically, dropping 95% over seven days from 38¢ to 2¢, suggesting either new information about the season's outcome or a significant correction in initial pricing. The 3¢ spread is notably wide relative to the 2¢ price, indicating thin liquidity despite $3,494 in open interest, with minimal 24-hour volume of just $32.34 making this difficult to trade at fair value. With over two years until the 11/30/2026 expiry, the extreme price movement appears disconnected from typical time decay, warranting investigation into whether spoilers or casting changes have emerged.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the winner of The Bachelorette Season 22. The winner is defined as the contestant who receives the final rose from the Bachelorette. Any changes in relationship status after the final rose ceremony including the "After the Final Rose" segment will not be considered. If no rose is given, or the finale ends without a final rose ceremony, this market will resolve to "Other". If the final episode of the bachelorette is not publicly available by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The official resolution source will be the finale episode of The Bachelorette Season 22.
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sf trade 0x795b790fe2cd5b930a34806197b687397b7c036d681a9fdd11a2619b3d029a12 yes 100