↑ 70,000 · What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026
↑ 70,000 is priced at 85¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 79¢ bid, 82¢ ask, 3¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 16 inside What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?.
Price history
85¢ current
+34¢Contract brief
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) between the creation of this market through 11:59 PM ET on the last day of the year specified in the title has a final "High" price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No”. Price action before this market's creation will not be considered. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "High" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Outcome
↑ 70,000
Rank
#1 of 16
Leader
↑ 70,000 85¢
Range
1¢-85¢
Family volume
$32.7M
Identifier
0x7b9072e6...daa8
Jun 17, 2026, 5:08 AM UTC · 1m ago
Implied probability
Bid
79¢
Ask
82¢
Spread
3¢
24h volume
$773
Family rank
#1 of 16
16 outcomes · What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?
Closes
Jan 1, 2027
Family volume
$32.7M
Orderbook snapshot
79 / 82¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) between the creation of this market through 11:59 PM ET on the last day of the year specified in the title has a final "High" price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No”. Price action before this market's creation will not be considered. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "High" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Venue
Polymarket
Closes
Jan 1, 2027
Identifier
0x7b9072e6…daa8
Cross-venue match
Similar contract on kalshi at 3¢, +82¢ versus this page.
Event family
What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$32.7M
Outcomes
16
Highest price
↑ 70,000 85¢
Current share
0%
↑ 70,000
polymarket · 0x7b9072e6a9cdcf022c4f098564e8ee612d544e179e4a33dcc2790fbaa778daa8
↓ 55,000
polymarket · 0x752fa61c93f16c4b15e85b0bd438d9c684176b0ea7b319a84c8aca34616e8a8c
↓ 50,000
polymarket · 0xce3c54c3e773e8b3bf73e4c12af93205b21195d03b9c386e22f274b9acfc2c56
↓ 45,000
polymarket · 0x024b68f77bfc019341ee3db8f57c103334e4b9430bba4746d8c94aafd8b36fee
↑ 90,000
polymarket · 0xbb379a14cd03f68c35c279ddbd928a6326f4fd2e21827f8cdaaf59715d6df50e
↓ 35,000
polymarket · 0x2745c38ff0617cb345c1d2df19b4f74ea777508e07411e88eeb6ab3affcda2a2
↑ 100,000
polymarket · 0xdaa4866bae18be58c5a79d2aeeffd035ec78f1bb49dbd88f72993997778a990f
↑ 110,000
polymarket · 0x63eaf41ce1f475323e2202d7dfa3b1def8b82cd166f7007c50bfbf47615c7b01
↓ 25,000
polymarket · 0xe326d1abf5fb59b82ecfdff3348e75f90561eace327ba1bdc8d38d045ddbe775
↑ 130,000
polymarket · 0x885a6abefad122348b4fbd503473d7fd1f9035d0438cf988a7591620f316a859
↓ 15,000
polymarket · 0xa885bfe10688056a9d0f4e9a1523bfa18f66fda065f0400d714ba54776083713
↑ 150,000
polymarket · 0xa7b594ae07d5c1590fa86028fcc2f8705990437237416556c05837a08b2e1cda
↑ 250,000
polymarket · 0x6fefc0438c7598b23531457c8c60541990d0786bd4bd9dfc3eabc8d95c291092
↑ 200,000
polymarket · 0xac32e73aa9e0dae801d88d4f81efd2ef3fa0f04b815f3a0e74426f0762e668cd
↑ 1,000,000
polymarket · 0xa7d7ed69cfd6107e5e005556730dcf45727c1cdd1001f0378f5e471526181c47
↑ 500,000
polymarket · 0xf3519e50e99fa353443d45060813453b1b717e463b5b76c306e85e8f5b026116
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.341
Observability
low
Event type
financial
Full indicator table
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SimpleFunctions context
Index, screen, query, and monitor.
Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
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Event Probability API
Read 85% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
Prices, orderbooks, movement, heat, and liquidity indicators across venues.
World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.