Will the median home value in New York City be between $575,000 and $582,000 on April 30?

Prediction markets currently give a 27% probability that Will the median home value in New York City be between $575,000 and $582,000 on April 30?. This contract trades at 27¢ on Polymarket, closing April 30, 2026.

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27¢
Bid/Ask 3/52¢·Spread 49¢·Vol $16.42·OI $129.365·Closes Apr 30, 2026·4d remaining
0x7c90e3793bb38ee819ae5186496cf8c9e5280b2905818c57d52be5b55b73d2b7
7-day price362 snapshots · 12 regime
47¢29¢ current
Apr 2212¢Apr 25

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in New York City, New York on April 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City (Parcl_ID: 5372594). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1000 square feet, which is the median home size in New York City. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 30, 2026. If no data for April 30 is released by May 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/26)

Indicators

IY (Yes) 20997.7%
IY (No) 3856.7%
Adj IY 0%
CRI 2
RV 2699%
VR 1.55
▶ Full indicator table (9)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)20997.7%
IY (No)3856.7%
Adj IY0%
CRI2
RV2699%
VR1.55
IAR2.4/h
Overround0.3%
LAS1.57

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Spread
49¢
Computed
4/25/2026, 10:42:19 PM
Has orderbookIndicators computed 4/25/2026, 10:38:51 PM

Trade

View on polymarketsf trade 0x7c90e3793bb38ee819ae5186496cf8c9e5280b2905818c57d52be5b55b73d2b7 yes 100

Related concepts

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