Will Waymo launch in Nashville by June 30 2026?

Prediction markets currently give a 83% probability that Will Waymo launch in Nashville by June 30 2026?. This contract trades at 83¢ on Polymarket, closing June 30, 2026.

█████████████████████████████████░░░░░░░
83¢
Bid/Ask 81/84¢·Spread 3¢·Vol $11.11·OI $2,924.831·Closes Jun 30, 2026·65d remaining
0x8a201719828d30a8cd1c002306a433033ff7b87d42e528644b4d05f1d47174f7
7-day price817 snapshots · 6 regime
89¢83¢ current
Apr 843¢Apr 25

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Waymo begins offering its ride-hailing service to the general public within the listed city by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". Any taxi service available to the general public which operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions. A qualifying launch requires the general public be able to hail a Waymo vehicle within the listed city \ through the Waymo One app or another official Waymo platform (such as a dedicated website or integrated partner app like Uber). Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify. The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo (see: https://waymo.com/rides/c), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 106.9%
IY (No) 2947.4%
Adj IY 2947%
CRI 5
RV 220%
VR 2.17
▶ Full indicator table (8)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)106.9%
IY (No)2947.4%
Adj IY2947%
CRI5
RV220%
VR2.17
IAR3.0/h
Overround1.4%

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.432
Spread
3¢
Computed
4/25/2026, 11:50:50 PM
Observability mediumEvent type unknown
Indicators computed 4/25/2026, 11:38:52 PM

Trade

View on polymarketsf trade 0x8a201719828d30a8cd1c002306a433033ff7b87d42e528644b4d05f1d47174f7 yes 100

Related concepts

Related Prediction Market Questions