Will Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during April press conference?
Prediction markets currently give a 79% probability that Will Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during April press conference?. This contract trades at 79¢ on Polymarket, closing April 29, 2026.
Resolution rules
Jerome Powell is currently scheduled to give an FOMC Introductory Statement and press conference on April 29, 2026, at 2:30 PM ET. This market pertains to his Introductory Statement as well as the following Q&A session. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Powell says the listed term during the FOMC Press Conference. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If no such statement happens by April 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video and transcripts of the FOMC Press conference.
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sf trade 0x8de24a512446898475df2662f0b7d23d307dc2c1c2a45ae54ebfefc082243748 yes 100