Will Aston Villa win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?

Prediction markets currently give a 49% probability that Will Aston Villa win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?. This contract trades at 49¢ on Polymarket, closing May 24, 2026.

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49¢
Bid/Ask 48/50¢·Spread 2¢·Vol $162.388·OI $49,586.207·Closes May 24, 2026·31d remaining
0x93709d7acb31d264541c3447e38c1772ea113f096423cf24279eebd44856c9b9
7-day price159 snapshots · 57 regime
55¢49¢ current
Apr 831¢Apr 22
Cross-venue

Also on kalshi at 49¢0¢)

View counterpart →Match confidence 0.78IY 899.7%Close-time delta 262h

Resolution rules

This is a polymarket on whether the listed team will win the 2025–26 UEFA Europa League. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team is officially crowned the winner of the 2025–26 UEFA Europa League. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to win the tournament (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the market will resolve to "No". If the 2025–26 UEFA Europa League is canceled or not completed by October 1, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA Europa League (https://www.uefa.com/uefaeuropaleague/). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 1213.5%
IY (No) 1120.2%
Adj IY 1213%
CRI 1
RV 124%
VR 0.36
▶ Full indicator table (8)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)1213.5%
IY (No)1120.2%
Adj IY1213%
CRI1
RV124%
VR0.36
IAR0.4/h
Overround-0.0%

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.409
Spread
2¢
Computed
4/22/2026, 4:46:24 PM
Observability mediumEvent type sports
Indicators computed 4/22/2026, 4:38:24 PM

Trade

View on polymarketsf trade 0x93709d7acb31d264541c3447e38c1772ea113f096423cf24279eebd44856c9b9 yes 100

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