Necklace · What kind of product will OpenAI announce in 2026
Necklace is priced at 10¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 9¢ bid, 10¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #10 of 10 inside What kind of product will OpenAI announce in 2026?.
Price history
10¢ current
Contract brief
This market will resolve according to "Yes" if the listed type of consumer hardware product is publicly announced by OpenAI by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The announcement of a qualifying consumer hardware product within the market timeframe will suffice, regardless of whether or when the product is released. If a device fulfills multiple device categories, then all relevant categories will resolve to "Yes". The resolution source will be official information from OpenAI.
Outcome
Necklace
Rank
#10 of 10
Leader
Earbuds/Headphones 22¢
Range
10¢-22¢
Family volume
$304K
Identifier
0x9808175a...4db9
Jun 5, 2026, 1:38 PM UTC · 17m ago
Implied probability
Bid
9¢
Ask
10¢
Spread
1¢
24h volume
$112
Family rank
#10 of 10
10 outcomes · What kind of product will OpenAI announce in 2026?
Closes
Dec 31, 2026
Family volume
$304K
Orderbook snapshot
9 / 10¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
This market will resolve according to "Yes" if the listed type of consumer hardware product is publicly announced by OpenAI by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The announcement of a qualifying consumer hardware product within the market timeframe will suffice, regardless of whether or when the product is released. If a device fulfills multiple device categories, then all relevant categories will resolve to "Yes". The resolution source will be official information from OpenAI.
Venue
Polymarket
Closes
Dec 31, 2026
Identifier
0x9808175a…4db9
Cross-venue match
Similar contract on kalshi at 3¢, +7¢ versus this page.
Event family
What kind of product will OpenAI announce in 2026.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$304K
Outcomes
10
Highest price
Earbuds/Headphones 22¢
Current share
6%
Earbuds/Headphones
polymarket · 0x3ff9124b87f05d7a65ec801f28cb336b86c16a2197afb0139731610d55e21d27
Glasses
polymarket · 0x0a7e49c536cc4a9ddfaca10ac9aec476e358c2d29a9e13d5cc320ad0335374a8
Clip-on device for clothing
polymarket · 0xec68eadfac48a30f23f3a7f4acc4428d65bac28cc61f7daf2581f42201d72d48
Phone
polymarket · 0x2d9e8b66e63e7b169416eed9d241a5aa633ba0052f553bb64a824e21f1be04c4
Watch
polymarket · 0xe1c1ad2a8552dbb0ac83b1baf7986d74849fbef0e209d44efbd2f2e5254e4e75
Computer (Laptop/Desktop)
polymarket · 0xba3981309bcbbd6c89f44f10354f8b9d26b33cb34ba0b972f62d6268fa6addcd
Tablet
polymarket · 0xc15a7548e3f5c17dd61cebeba2f105ce6a8c36e5dce50331ad308b26094c5a78
Ring
polymarket · 0x456a6fc21b414098046a33440896cb6cfaa86dc1a0032f2a73af21980b5e1099
Head-mounted display
polymarket · 0xe5fbcaf9e6eee30018a5e19d9e96296c7fd6be8502f8c8239a80a3108198417c
Necklace
polymarket · 0x9808175a3da0c4c5c12884209195e3e6236bd82ce435f34e6b88c92b0a7c4db9
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Observability
medium
Event type
scientific
Full indicator table
Odds pages
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.