Will CA Nacional Potosí win on 2026-04-22?

This market shows extreme illiquidity and volatility with zero 24-hour volume despite $184k open interest, suggesting the $184 spread reflects stale pricing rather than active trading. The price has collapsed 47% over seven days to just 18¢, and the absurd 43,882% implied yield on the Yes side indicates the market is pricing in either a severe mispricing or near-certain No outcome given the 4-day expiry. With a Cliff Risk Index of 4 and realized volatility exceeding 3,300%, this appears to be a dead or manipulated market that should be approached with extreme caution.

Resolution rules

In the upcoming game, scheduled for April 22, 2026 If CA Nacional Potosí wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Indicators

Regime

Trade