Will Taylor Swift release "Taylor Swift (Taylor's Version)" in 2026
Will Taylor Swift release "Taylor Swift (Taylor's Version)" in 2026 is priced at 72¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 69¢ bid, 74¢ ask, 5¢ spread. This page tracks a standalone prediction-market contract.
Price history
72¢ current
+25¢Contract brief
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Taylor Swift releases a re-recorded version of her debut album "Taylor Swift" by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM PT (Los Angeles time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Officially released means that a newly released album is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date. A qualifying album must either have some form of the designation "Taylor's Version" in the title or be acknowledged by Taylor Swift as a re-recording of the relevant album. "Taylor's Version" re-recordings of albums other than the album titled "Taylor Swift" will not qualify this market towards a "Yes" resolution. The resolution source will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify.
Outcome
Will Taylor Swift release "Taylor Swift (Taylor's Version)" in 2026
Rank
Standalone
Leader
—
Range
—
Family volume
$30
Identifier
0xc5c6b04f...ca03
Jun 8, 2026, 7:38 AM UTC · 13m ago
Implied probability
Bid
69¢
Ask
74¢
Spread
5¢
24h volume
$79
Family rank
Standalone
Standalone contract
Closes
Dec 31, 2026
Family volume
$30
Orderbook snapshot
69 / 74¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Taylor Swift releases a re-recorded version of her debut album "Taylor Swift" by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM PT (Los Angeles time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Officially released means that a newly released album is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date. A qualifying album must either have some form of the designation "Taylor's Version" in the title or be acknowledged by Taylor Swift as a re-recording of the relevant album. "Taylor's Version" re-recordings of albums other than the album titled "Taylor Swift" will not qualify this market towards a "Yes" resolution. The resolution source will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify.
Venue
Polymarket
Closes
Dec 31, 2026
Identifier
0xc5c6b04f…ca03
Cross-venue match
Similar contract on kalshi at 53¢, +19¢ versus this page.
Event family
Related outcomes.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$30
Outcomes
1
Highest price
Will Taylor Swift release "Taylor Swift (Taylor's Version)" in 2026 74¢
Current share
100%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Odds pages
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SimpleFunctions context
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Event Probability API
Read 72% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.