Will Pump.fun reach $0.0090 by December 31, 2026?

This market shows extreme asymmetry with a 1268.7% implied yield on the "Yes" side versus just 15.7% on the "No" side, suggesting the 10¢ price may undervalue the probability of PUMP reaching $0.0090 given the 259-day timeframe and wide 1¢ spread. The zero 24-hour volume and $2.4M open interest indicate illiquidity despite the high yield, creating potential execution risk for larger positions. The cliff risk index of 9 is notably elevated, likely reflecting the binary nature of the resolution criteria tied to a single Binance candle high rather than sustained price levels.

Resolution rules

This market will immediately resolve to “Yes” if any Binance 1-minute candle for Pump.fun (PUMP/USDT) between November 24, 2025, 17:00 and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final “High” price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the PUMP/USDT “High” prices available at: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/PUMP_USDT with the chart set to “1m” (one-minute candles) on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance PUMP/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

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