Spread: Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata (-2.5)
Prediction markets currently give a 4% probability that Spread: Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata (-2.5). This contract trades at 4¢ on Polymarket, closing April 26, 2026.
Resolution rules
In the upcoming Primera División Argentina game, scheduled for April 26 at 4:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata" if Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata win the game by 3 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "CA Belgrano". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on afa.com.ar. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Indicators
▶ Full indicator table (6)▼ Full indicator table (6)
| Indicator | Value |
|---|---|
| Adj IY | 14333% |
| CRI | 24 |
| RV | 2966% |
| VR | 0.04 |
| IAR | 1.1/h |
| Overround | 1.2% |
Regime
Trade
sf trade 0xde68444f92745ef9181df83dc0a7d53c61772eeebfab2e9447def05336402aef yes 100