Will the number of AIPAC PAC-endorsed candidates who lose their primary be at least 1 between Apr 10, 2026 and Sep 16, 2026?
This contract is priced at 83¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 86¢ bid, 87¢ ask, 1¢ spread.
Implied probability
Event outcomes
4
Family volume
$199
Best sibling
At least 10 19¢
Ticker
KXAIPACLOSEPRIMARY-26SEP16-T1
Price history
83¢ current
+7¢Orderbook snapshot
86 / 87¢
Contract terms
Resolution, venue, and identifiers.
Resolution rules
If the number of AIPAC-endorsed candidates who lose their respective primary election held after Apr 10, 2026 and before Sept 16, 2026 is at least 1, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Sep 16, 2026
Identifier
KXAIPACLOSEPRIMARY-26SEP16-T1
Event family
Will the number of AIPAC PAC-endorsed candidates who lose their primary be at least.
This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.
Total volume
$199
Outcomes
4
Highest price
At least 1 86¢
Current share
0%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
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Event Probability API
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Realtime Data API
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