What is the current probability for "#2 Global Netflix Movie on May 4, 2026?"?

This prediction market is currently priced at 2¢ (2% implied probability) on Kalshi. It closes on May 5, 2026.

Where can I trade "#2 Global Netflix Movie on May 4, 2026?"?

This market trades on Kalshi, a US-regulated prediction market exchange. You can also analyze it with SimpleFunctions — AI-powered indicators, regime detection, and autonomous trading across both venues.

KalshiMay 5, 2026

#2 Global Netflix Movie on May 4, 2026?

Name: SimpleFunctions
Author: SimpleFunctions

This contract is priced at 2¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 0¢ bid, 2¢ ask, 2¢ spread.

Open on Kalshi JSON + orderbook Enter terminal

Implied probability

2¢

$264 volume

$217 liquidity

31% of event volume

Event outcomes

Family volume

$845

Best sibling

The Requin 1¢

Ticker

KXNETFLIXRANKMOVIEGLOBAL2-26MAY04-UNT

Price history

2¢ current

Apr 29, 2026May 2, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

0 / 2¢

Kalshi

2¢ spread

BidSize

AskSize

2¢83

3¢111

4¢200

48¢3

49¢55

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If Untold: The Shooting at Hawthorne Hill is #2 on the Netflix Top 10 Global Movie on the chart published on May 5, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

May 5, 2026

Identifier

KXNETFLIXRANKMOVIEGLOBAL2-26MAY04-UNT

Event family

#2 Global Netflix Movie on May 4, 2026.

This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.

Total volume

$845

Outcomes

Highest price

Apex 7¢

Current share

20%

OutcomePriceVolume24hDepth

Untold: The Shooting at Hawthorne Hill

kalshi · KXNETFLIXRANKMOVIEGLOBAL2-26MAY04-UNT

2¢$166$166—

The Requin