SimpleFunctions
KalshiMay 5, 20261 days left

#2 Global Netflix Movie on May 4, 2026?

This contract is priced at 4¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 3¢ bid, 4¢ ask, 1¢ spread.

Implied probability

4¢
$467 volume
$367 liquidity
55% of event volume

Event outcomes

10

Family volume

$845

Best sibling

The Requin 1¢

Ticker

KXNETFLIXRANKMOVIEGLOBAL2-26MAY04-180

Price history

4¢ current

+2¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 29, 2026May 3, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

3 / 4¢

Kalshi
1¢ spread
BidSize
100¢782
3¢2
2¢101
AskSize
4¢38
5¢330
6¢181
8¢500
29¢2

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If 180 is #2 on the Netflix Top 10 Global Movie on the chart published on May 5, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

May 5, 2026

Identifier

KXNETFLIXRANKMOVIEGLOBAL2-26MAY04-180

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

CRI

32

VR

1.54

IAR

2.0/h

Overround

-0.8%

LAS

0.67

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

32
VR
1.54
IAR
2.0/h
Overround
-0.8%
LAS
0.67

Odds pages

Related prediction questions

Browse odds

Related readings

Matched from SimpleFunctions blog, opinions, technical guides, concepts, and learn pages.

Browse library
Blogmarkets

Kalshi vs Polymarket: Which Prediction Market Should You Trade?

In-depth comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket for prediction market traders. Regulatory structure, liquidity, fees, API tooling, and cross-venue trading with SimpleFunctions.

Opinioncomparison

Kalshi vs Polymarket: Mechanics, Fees, Regulation, Liquidity (2026)

Side-by-side comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket in 2026. Fee math, calibration data, withdrawal speed, and a decision tree for picking the right venue.

Technicalguide

Kalshi vs Polymarket: A Developer's Comparison of APIs, Orderbooks, and Liquidity

Data-driven comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket APIs, orderbooks, rate limits, and liquidity. Code examples for building on both prediction markets.

Opinionanalysis

Liquidity Availability Is the Real Edge in Prediction Markets

Implied yield, cliff risk, and overround all describe what to trade. Liquidity Availability Score describes whether the orderbook can absorb the trade. Why LAS is the indicator that decides who actually books P&L.

Blogmarkets

Prediction Market Orderbook Analysis: Reading Depth, Spread, and Liquidity

How to read prediction market orderbooks. Binary settlement, spread-as-percentage, depth asymmetry, executable edge calculation, and cross-venue arbitrage analysis.

Blogcrypto

How Bitcoin & Ethereum Crypto 2026 Price Prediction Markets Are Pricing the Next Leg of the Cycle

Deep-dive for crypto investors and traders into Bitcoin and Ethereum 2026 price prediction markets. Learn how BTC/ETH halving base rates, ETF flows, DeFi/L2 growth, and global regulation shape market-implied odds for 2026 price targets.

SimpleFunctions context

Index, screen, query, and monitor.

Open index