What is the current probability for "2026 Academy of Country Music Award for Duo of the Year?"?

This prediction market is currently priced at 24¢ (24% implied probability) on Kalshi. It closes on December 31, 2026. 245 days remaining.

What is the implied yield on "2026 Academy of Country Music Award for Duo of the Year?"?

The annualized implied yield on the YES side is 679.1% and 32.7% on the NO side. Implied yield measures the annualized return if the contract is held to expiry and resolves in your favor.

Where can I trade "2026 Academy of Country Music Award for Duo of the Year?"?

This market trades on Kalshi, a US-regulated prediction market exchange. You can also analyze it with SimpleFunctions — AI-powered indicators, regime detection, and autonomous trading across both venues.

2026 Academy of Country Music Award for Duo of the Year?

Name: SimpleFunctions
Author: SimpleFunctions

Prediction markets currently give a 24% probability that 2026 Academy of Country Music Award for Duo of the Year?. This contract trades at 24¢ on Kalshi, closing December 31, 2026.

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24¢mid

Bid/Ask 18/30¢·Spread 12¢·Vol $0·OI $0·Closes Dec 31, 2026·245d remaining

KXACMADOTY-68-DAN

7-day price3 snapshots · 3 regime

19¢18¢ current

Apr 231¢Apr 23

Resolution rules

If Dan + Shay has won Duo of the Year at the 61st Academy of Country Music Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 679.1%

IY (No) 32.7%

Adj IY 340%

CRI 5

▶ Full indicator table (4)

Indicator	Value	Meaning
IY (Yes)	679.1%	Annualized return if held to expiry, YES side
IY (No)	32.7%	Annualized return, NO side
Adj IY	340%	Risk-adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets and high friction
CRI	5	Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market approaches resolution

Regime

Label

neutral

Score

0.5

Spread

12¢

Computed

4/30/2026, 6:30:23 PM

Indicators computed 4/30/2026, 6:23:09 PM

Trade

View on kalshi →sf trade KXACMADOTY-68-DAN yes 100

Related concepts

Implied Yield →Cliff Risk Index →

Resolution rules

Indicators

Regime

Trade

Related concepts

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