Bruma · World Cup: Player to make Portugal Squad
Bruma is priced at 4¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 0¢ bid, 8¢ ask, 8¢ spread. This outcome ranks #7 of 8 inside World Cup: Player to make Portugal Squad.
Price history
4¢ current
+1¢Contract brief
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed player is announced as a member of the listed nation’s official squad for the 2026 FIFA World Cup by June 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. Only full squad announcements will be considered. Prior cut lists or previous squad lists other than the officially announced squad lists will not be considered. If a player is officially announced as part of the squad but is replaced before the nation’s first game for any reason, the corresponding market will still resolve “Yes”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after June 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the listed player cannot be confirmed as a part of the listed nation’s official squad for the 2026 FIFA World Cup within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Outcome
Bruma
Rank
#7 of 8
Leader
Ricardo Horta 50¢
Range
0¢-50¢
Family volume
$380K
Identifier
0xbf511f9b...661f
May 28, 2026, 11:38 PM UTC · 6m ago
Implied probability
Bid
0¢
Ask
8¢
Spread
8¢
24h volume
$57K
Family rank
#7 of 8
8 outcomes · World Cup: Player to make Portugal Squad
Closes
—
Family volume
$380K
Orderbook snapshot
0 / 8¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed player is announced as a member of the listed nation’s official squad for the 2026 FIFA World Cup by June 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. Only full squad announcements will be considered. Prior cut lists or previous squad lists other than the officially announced squad lists will not be considered. If a player is officially announced as part of the squad but is replaced before the nation’s first game for any reason, the corresponding market will still resolve “Yes”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after June 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the listed player cannot be confirmed as a part of the listed nation’s official squad for the 2026 FIFA World Cup within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Venue
Polymarket
Closes
—
Identifier
0xbf511f9b…661f
Event family
World Cup: Player to make Portugal Squad.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$380K
Outcomes
8
Highest price
Ricardo Horta 50¢
Current share
16%
Ricardo Horta
polymarket · 0xfedba37972afe5187ae38e8572d3dc356ce35a40040ad131891594d190202506
Rodrigo Mora
polymarket · 0x746b0632807c3ecdea2d2effd0be7b5947e54ef749464b746fdf51e585b1b83a
António Silva
polymarket · 0x3b9c63840cc0e18a5142d73184815cf1e7b04227c9076539d50e8ec4a816328d
Pedro Gonçalves
polymarket · 0x5ae3f4083c272d5e1849fa5dd320f6716a1e0518957f440c9c955ece276695ab
Mateus Fernandes
polymarket · 0xcf8615e1dcbacc87eb264ea62526d7137945b9dfb305eebd4ab20982b097c0a6
André Silva
polymarket · 0x04e28f14dfb41fc670ecae9e73d3533a79367f6bf2d80200a2121b76b5f52c0d
Bruma
polymarket · 0xbf511f9b52a61b465e0bd6e075f9bdce9c520ce25a743c28f08de273ee25661f
Pepe
polymarket · 0xc0a3218acbbaa885ef983e23f09bd627c44e1b1daaf2311f598aa96b522ea0b3
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.