SimpleFunctions

Coco Gauff · 2026 Women’s US Open Winner (Tennis)

Coco Gauff is priced at 7¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 7¢ bid, 7¢ ask, 0¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 16 inside 2026 Women’s US Open Winner (Tennis).

Price history

7¢ current

43¢
0¢25¢50¢
Apr 28, 2026May 28, 2026

Contract brief

The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Outcome

Coco Gauff

Rank

#2 of 16

Leader

Elena Rybakina 11¢

Range

0¢-11¢

Family volume

$2.3M

Identifier

0xd57fc70e...eea5

May 28, 2026, 6:38 AM UTC · 13m ago

Implied probability

7¢
Latest venue quote
May 28, 2026, 6:38 AM UTC · 13m ago

Bid

Ask

Spread

24h volume

$591

Family rank

#2 of 16

16 outcomes · 2026 Women’s US Open Winner (Tennis)

Closes

Sep 13, 2026

Family volume

$2.3M

Orderbook snapshot

7 / 7¢

Polymarket
0¢ spread
BidSize
7¢20
7¢20
7¢200
7¢145
6¢902
6¢1.4K
6¢300
5¢100
AskSize
7¢98
8¢18
12¢64
21¢97
27¢10
27¢30
28¢10
28¢45

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Venue

Polymarket

Closes

Sep 13, 2026

Identifier

0xd57fc70e…eea5

SF Signal
SF Index
4501.63
Regime
neutral

Event family

2026 Women’s US Open Winner (Tennis).

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$2.3M

Outcomes

16

Highest price

Elena Rybakina 11¢

Current share

0%

OutcomePriceVolume24hDepth

Elena Rybakina

polymarket · 0x06a3407e2639729c2aefa0d124f4cec064875f47fb0a85e3b3a82978878e5a12

11¢
$66K$6K0.1

Coco Gauff

polymarket · 0xd57fc70e99167e2e418eb462abfab43227d2ae48a1342bdf44fe93864852eea5

7¢
$8K$591

Amanda Anisimova

polymarket · 0x6f057692b6a3593c6a31ae25ab77176e930f0528946a788dce0cb3718b2bd501

3¢
$49K$491

Jessica Pegula

polymarket · 0x8ae48c75da6e6a01d266952e6e5b6b5ca3f7dd7f9fb51759f167cc0028e61e27

2¢
$79K$704

Alexandra Eala

polymarket · 0xd44a98cbfcf6b7b5727f6c880b8ef86f10d4a5b50b616331011b75bec697a99c

1¢
$243K$454

Qinwen Zheng

polymarket · 0x32abb83d872a85d5abca961367456a72ddb40fe756f945a16fb49940d17627ce

1¢
$219K$217K

Emma Raducanu

polymarket · 0xab8592c00f5719960d288f5413d1983e0727fc532c97762495ee73a7cc8f45d9

1¢
$41K$1K

Barbora Krejcikova

polymarket · 0x4b408f8e5e035d5498751ff0048fca5fc472ce1f774d703b3e9f323590ebe3a6

0¢
$518K$639

Tereza Valentova

polymarket · 0xaed5fc200c5322ecf7e4d09fc8287de5325c3c64b15c1e85af9f945abdb7aaeb

0¢
$466K$958

Anastasia Potapova

polymarket · 0xdaba177a8a9e34e55a1663bf89f7bc20e94829bbf5f254832d778d574fb29b54

0¢
$415K$581

Katie Boulter

polymarket · 0xf81572e9960e1e36136f9d3ab4b5f753270089ee444481f3a4d9433408482da3

0¢
$48K$580

Belinda Bencic

polymarket · 0xb29c3fa25fd3ea56bbacc5f4cc937f49dbb107c96b70783387c544365fc7dfcb

0¢
$38K$619

Maya Joint

polymarket · 0x41a5918c346c37d31187083b13c86f717d46e2de63c7269a35533568fcb87402

0¢
$30K$619

Beatriz Haddad Maia

polymarket · 0xe1c25af006f1f9c4da3f7b0047b2929c07e804c4104342074f7a74a12c27a59f

0¢
$25K$580

Diana Shnaider

polymarket · 0xe0d1e91f91b13d4aea9ef6742d9f2d0730cb04012da4549e54fcc331a1b714c7

0¢
$22K$580

Marie Bouzkova

polymarket · 0x43c4d1796b7d8e7a6f54d655c282daec9b6883edbe21434dd9b85a5b5f499453

0¢
$22K$455

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

4501.6%

IY (No)

25.5%

Adj IY

4502%

CRI

13

RV

1216%

VR

3.08

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

4501.6%
25.5%
Adj IY
4502%
13
RV
1216%
VR
3.08
IAR
0.6/h
Overround
-0.2%

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SimpleFunctions context

Index, screen, query, and monitor.

Open index

How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.