2027 Best Makeup and Hairstyling Oscar nominations
Cry to Heaven is priced at 35¢ midpoint on Kalshi. Current book: 31¢ bid, 39¢ ask, 8¢ spread. This outcome ranks #6 of 11 inside 2027 Best Makeup and Hairstyling Oscar nominations.
Price history
35¢ current
+11¢Contract brief
If Cry to Heaven has been nominated for Best Makeup and Hairstyling at the 99th Academy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Cry to Heaven
Rank
#6 of 11
Leader
Digger 66¢
Range
9¢-66¢
Family volume
$0
Identifier
KXOSCARNOMMAKEUP-27-CRY
Jun 8, 2026, 11:08 AM UTC · 28m ago
Implied probability
Bid
31¢
Ask
39¢
Spread
8¢
Reported volume
$0
Family rank
#6 of 11
11 outcomes · 2027 Best Makeup and Hairstyling Oscar nominations
Closes
Dec 31, 2027
Family volume
$0
Orderbook snapshot
31 / 39¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Cry to Heaven has been nominated for Best Makeup and Hairstyling at the 99th Academy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Dec 31, 2027
Identifier
KXOSCARNOMMAKEUP-27-CRY
Event family
2027 Best Makeup and Hairstyling Oscar nominations.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$0
Outcomes
11
Highest price
Digger 66¢
Current share
—
Digger
kalshi · KXOSCARNOMMAKEUP-27-DIG
Dune: Part Three
kalshi · KXOSCARNOMMAKEUP-27-DUN
Werwulf
kalshi · KXOSCARNOMMAKEUP-27-WER
Clayface
kalshi · KXOSCARNOMMAKEUP-27-CLA
The Odyssey
kalshi · KXOSCARNOMMAKEUP-27-ODY
Cry to Heaven
kalshi · KXOSCARNOMMAKEUP-27-CRY
Michael
kalshi · KXOSCARNOMMAKEUP-27-MIC
Madden
kalshi · KXOSCARNOMMAKEUP-27-MAD
Rose
kalshi · KXOSCARNOMMAKEUP-27-ROS
The Social Reckoning
kalshi · KXOSCARNOMMAKEUP-27-SOC
UNABOMBER
kalshi · KXOSCARNOMMAKEUP-27-UNA
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
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Event Probability API
Read 35% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.