A United Nations Secretary-General selection is expected to be held in 2026 to choose the next Secretary-General of the United Nations. This market will resolve according to the listed person who is officially chosen to be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations in this selection process. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Secretary-Generals appointed before the next Secretary-General selection will not count. If no United Nations Secretary-General selection takes place or the results of this selection are not known by June 30, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
Rafael Grossi | 43.0% |
Amina Mohammed | 30.1% |
Maria Fernanda Espinosa Garcés | 30.0% |
Rebeca Grynspan | 29.0% |
Mia Mottley | 28.6% |
Bruno Donat | 27.3% |
Kristalina Georgieva | 23.8% |
Michelle Bachelet | 14.0% |
Alicia Bárcena | 7.1% |
Jacinda Ardern | 4.3% |
David Choquehuanca | 3.0% |
Vuk Jeremić | 3.0% |
Colombe Cahen-Salvador | 1.6% |
Achim Steiner | 1.4% |
Person AF | 0.0% |
Person R | 0.0% |
Person S | 0.0% |
Person T | 0.0% |
Person U | 0.0% |
Person V | 0.0% |
Person W | 0.0% |
Person X | 0.0% |
Person Y | 0.0% |
Person Z | 0.0% |
Person AA | 0.0% |
Person AB | 0.0% |
Person AC | 0.0% |
Person AD | 0.0% |
Person AE | 0.0% |
Other | 0.0% |
Person A | 0.0% |
CurrentPerson B | 0.0% |
Person C | 0.0% |
Person D | 0.0% |
Person E | 0.0% |
Person F | 0.0% |
Person G | 0.0% |
Person H | 0.0% |
Person I | 0.0% |
Person J | 0.0% |
Person K | 0.0% |
Person L | 0.0% |
Person M | 0.0% |
Person N | 0.0% |
Person O | 0.0% |
Person P | 0.0% |
Person Q | 0.0% |