A United Nations Secretary-General selection is expected to be held in 2026 to choose the next Secretary-General of the United Nations. This market will resolve according to the listed person who is officially chosen to be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations in this selection process. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Secretary-Generals appointed before the next Secretary-General selection will not count. If no United Nations Secretary-General selection takes place or the results of this selection are not known by June 30, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
Rebeca Grynspan | 38.5% |
Amina Mohammed | 37.3% |
Jacinda Ardern | 32.0% |
Rafael Grossi | 21.5% |
Michelle Bachelet | 19.5% |
Bruno Donat | 14.5% |
Mia Mottley | 8.3% |
Kristalina Georgieva | 5.0% |
Maria Fernanda Espinosa Garcés | 3.6% |
Achim Steiner | 3.2% |
Colombe Cahen-Salvador | 3.1% |
Vuk Jeremić | 0.4% |
David Choquehuanca | 0.4% |
Person AF | 0.0% |
Person P | 0.0% |
Person Q | 0.0% |
Person R | 0.0% |
Person S | 0.0% |
Person T | 0.0% |
Person U | 0.0% |
Person V | 0.0% |
Person W | 0.0% |
Person X | 0.0% |
Person Y | 0.0% |
Person Z | 0.0% |
Person AA | 0.0% |
Person AE | 0.0% |
Other | 0.0% |
Person B | 0.0% |
Person C | 0.0% |
Person D | 0.0% |
Person E | 0.0% |
Person F | 0.0% |
Person G | 0.0% |
Person I | 0.0% |
CurrentPerson J | 0.0% |
Person K | 0.0% |
Person L | 0.0% |
Person M | 0.0% |
Person O | 0.0% |