The 2025 FIDE World Rapid Championship chess tournament is scheduled for December 26-28, 2025 in Doha, Qatar. This market will resolve to the listed player who wins the 2025 FIDE World Rapid Open Championship. If a listed player is eliminated from this tournament, the relevant market will resolve immediately to “No”. If this event is cancelled, postponed after March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the World Rapid and Blitz Championships tournament organizers (https://worldrapidandblitz2025.fide.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Consider buying on Kalshi at lower price
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
Vincent Keymer | 6.2% |
Nodirbek Abdusattorov | 6.0% |
Javokhir Sindarov | 5.8% |
Ian Nepomniachtchi | 5.3% |
Rasmus Svane | 4.9% |
Levon Aronian | 4.5% |
Daniil Dubov | 4.1% |
Radoslaw Wojtaszek | 3.6% |
Pentala Harikrishna | 3.5% |
Wesley So | 2.9% |
Anish Giri | 2.6% |
Jan-Krzysztof Duda | 2.6% |
Praggnanandhaa R | 2.5% |
Leinier Dominguez Perez | 2.5% |
Nihal Sarin | 2.5% |
Hans Moke Niemann | 2.5% |
Dmitry Andreikin | 2.4% |
Vladislav Artemiev | 2.1% |
Andrey Esipenko | 2.1% |
Nils Grandelius | 2.1% |
Parham Maghsoodloo | 2.1% |
Alexander Grischuk | 2.1% |
David Anton Guijarro | 2.1% |
Shakhriyar Mamedyarov | 2.0% |
Rauf Mamedov | 1.9% |
Olexandr Bortnyk | 1.9% |
Ruslan Ponomariov | 1.9% |
Yangyi Yu | 1.9% |
Jose Eduardo Martinez Alcantara | 1.9% |
Teimour Radjabov | 1.8% |
Alexey Sarana | 1.8% |
Vasyl Ivanchuk | 1.6% |
A.R. Saleh Salem | 1.5% |
Kirill Alekseenko | 1.5% |
Raunak Sadhwani | 1.5% |
Eltaj Safarli | 1.4% |
Ray Robson | 1.4% |
Jorden Van Foreest | 1.3% |
Shant Sargsyan | 1.0% |
CurrentPerson 2 | 0.0% |
Person 49 | 0.0% |
Person 48 | 0.0% |
Person 47 | 0.0% |
Person 46 | 0.0% |
Person 45 | 0.0% |
Person 43 | 0.0% |
Person 42 | 0.0% |
Person 40 | 0.0% |
Person 39 | 0.0% |
Person 38 | 0.0% |
Person 37 | 0.0% |
Person 36 | 0.0% |
Person 35 | 0.0% |
Person 34 | 0.0% |
Person 33 | 0.0% |
Person 32 | 0.0% |
Person 31 | 0.0% |
Person 30 | 0.0% |
Person 7 | 0.0% |
Person 5 | 0.0% |
Person 3 | 0.0% |
Person 28 | 0.0% |
Person 27 | 0.0% |
Person 25 | 0.0% |
Person 24 | 0.0% |
Person 23 | 0.0% |
Person 22 | 0.0% |
Person 20 | 0.0% |
Person 19 | 0.0% |
Person 18 | 0.0% |
Person 17 | 0.0% |
Person 15 | 0.0% |
Person 14 | 0.0% |
Person 12 | 0.0% |
Person 9 | 0.0% |
Person 8 | 0.0% |
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| 6.0% |
| $4,131 |
| Trade |
Kalshi | 16.0% | $7,639 | Trade |
Kalshi | 1.0% | $2,608 | Trade |
Kalshi | 1.0% | $355 | Trade |