This market will resolve to "Yes" if a free trade agreement with the specified country or entity becomes law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes both agreements that become law through Senate ratification and Presidential approval, or through the enactment of a Congressional-Executive Agreement signed into law by the President. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
Mexico | 27.5% |
India | 24.5% |
Taiwan | 24.1% |
Indonesia | 23.0% |
Brazil | 23.0% |
Argentina | 22.0% |
European Union | 22.0% |
Vietnam | 21.5% |
Canada | 20.0% |
Israel | 19.0% |
South Korea | 17.0% |
Australia | 15.5% |
South Africa | 15.0% |
Pakistan | 15.0% |
Japan | 14.5% |
CurrentRussia | 14.5% |
United Kingdom | 14.0% |