This market will resolve to "Yes" if a free trade agreement with the specified country or entity becomes law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes both agreements that become law through Senate ratification and Presidential approval, or through the enactment of a Congressional-Executive Agreement signed into law by the President. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
Indonesia | 29.5% |
Argentina | 28.0% |
South Korea | 25.5% |
Taiwan | 23.5% |
Mexico | 21.5% |
Israel | 21.5% |
European Union | 21.0% |
Canada | 18.5% |
India | 18.0% |
Australia | 17.5% |
Brazil | 17.0% |
Vietnam | 16.5% |
Pakistan | 16.5% |
CurrentUnited Kingdom | 16.5% |
Russia | 16.5% |
South Africa | 16.0% |
Japan | 12.5% |