This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
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| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
Bernadette Wilson | 27.5% |
Tom Begich | 26.5% |
Nancy Dahlstrom | 17.0% |
Lisa Murkowski | 7.0% |
David Bronson | 6.4% |
Click Bishop | 6.3% |
Mary Peltola | 2.5% |
Shelley Hughes | 2.5% |
Treg Taylor | 2.3% |
Matt Heilala | 1.7% |
James Parkin | 0.4% |
Edna DeVries | 0.3% |
Adam Crum | 0.3% |
Other | 0.0% |
Candidate N | 0.0% |
Candidate O | 0.0% |
Candidate P | 0.0% |
Candidate Q | 0.0% |
Candidate R | 0.0% |
Candidate S | 0.0% |
CurrentCandidate T | 0.0% |
Candidate U | 0.0% |
Candidate V | 0.0% |
Candidate W | 0.0% |
Candidate X | 0.0% |
Candidate Y | 0.0% |
Candidate Z | 0.0% |
Candidate A | 0.0% |
Candidate B | 0.0% |
Candidate C | 0.0% |
Candidate D | 0.0% |
Candidate E | 0.0% |
Candidate F | 0.0% |
Candidate G | 0.0% |
Candidate H | 0.0% |
Candidate I | 0.0% |
Candidate J | 0.0% |
Candidate K | 0.0% |
Candidate L | 0.0% |
Candidate M | 0.0% |
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