This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
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| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
Tom Begich | 26.0% |
Nancy Dahlstrom | 25.5% |
Bernadette Wilson | 23.0% |
David Bronson | 7.3% |
Matt Heilala | 2.8% |
Mary Peltola | 2.7% |
Click Bishop | 2.6% |
Treg Taylor | 2.3% |
James Parkin | 1.1% |
Adam Crum | 0.8% |
Edna DeVries | 0.8% |
Lisa Murkowski | 0.4% |
Shelley Hughes | 0.3% |
Other | 0.0% |
Candidate N | 0.0% |
Candidate O | 0.0% |
Candidate P | 0.0% |
Candidate Q | 0.0% |
Candidate R | 0.0% |
Candidate S | 0.0% |
Candidate T | 0.0% |
Candidate U | 0.0% |
Candidate V | 0.0% |
Candidate W | 0.0% |
Candidate X | 0.0% |
Candidate Y | 0.0% |
Candidate Z | 0.0% |
CurrentCandidate A | 0.0% |
Candidate B | 0.0% |
Candidate C | 0.0% |
Candidate D | 0.0% |
Candidate E | 0.0% |
Candidate F | 0.0% |
Candidate G | 0.0% |
Candidate H | 0.0% |
Candidate I | 0.0% |
Candidate J | 0.0% |
Candidate K | 0.0% |
Candidate L | 0.0% |
Candidate M | 0.0% |
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| 16.0% |
| $1,332 |
| Trade |
Kalshi | 17.0% | $4,196 | Trade |