This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump Administration (including any federal court) publicly releases previously unreleased files pertaining to the illegal activities of Jeffrey Epstein which contain any mention of the listed individual between July 16 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only previously unreleased files which contain novel material not previously available to the public will qualify. Documents that are merely re-released, have had redactions removed, repackaged, or newly publicized versions of already available information do not qualify. Any mention of the listed individual in connection with Jeffrey Epstein will qualify, regardless of if connected to nefarious or illegal activities. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
Ehud Barak | 100.0% |
Justin Trudeau | 100.0% |
Elon Musk | 100.0% |
Chuck Schumer | 100.0% |
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez | 100.0% |
Joe Biden | 100.0% |
Kevin Spacey | 100.0% |
Larry Page | 100.0% |
Prince Andrew | 100.0% |
Alan Dershowitz | 100.0% |
Stephen Hawking | 100.0% |
Michael Jackson | 100.0% |
Bill Gates | 100.0% |
Bill Clinton | 100.0% |
Hillary Clinton | 100.0% |
Bernie Sanders | 100.0% |
Jay-Z | 100.0% |
Leonardo DiCaprio | 100.0% |
Alec Baldwin | 100.0% |
Jimmy Kimmel | 0.1% |
Reid Hoffman | 0.0% |
Oprah Winfrey | 0.0% |
CurrentHenry Kissinger | 0.0% |
Sean Combs | 0.0% |
Anderson Cooper | 0.0% |
Ellen Degeneres | 0.0% |
Robert Downey Jr. | 0.0% |
Quentin Tarantino | 0.0% |
Tony Blair | 0.0% |
Rachel Maddow | 0.0% |
Al Gore | 0.0% |
David Koch | 0.0% |
Kirsten Gillibrand | 0.0% |
Jamie Dimon | 0.0% |
Piers Morgan | 0.0% |