What is the current probability for "2026 Academy of Country Music Award for New Male Artist of the Year?"?

This prediction market is currently priced at 9¢ (9% implied probability) on Kalshi. It closes on December 31, 2026. 245 days remaining.

What is the implied yield on "2026 Academy of Country Music Award for New Male Artist of the Year?"?

The annualized implied yield on the YES side is 4817.1% and 4.6% on the NO side. Implied yield measures the annualized return if the contract is held to expiry and resolves in your favor.

2026 Academy of Country Music Award for New Male Artist of the Year?

Prediction markets currently give a 9% probability that 2026 Academy of Country Music Award for New Male Artist of the Year?. This contract trades at 9¢ on Kalshi, closing December 31, 2026.

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9¢

Bid/Ask 2/9¢·Spread 7¢·Vol $121.44·OI $121.44·Closes Dec 31, 2026·245d remaining

KXACMANMAOTY-68-HUD

7-day price8 snapshots · 1 regime

4¢2¢ current

Apr 231¢Apr 30

Resolution rules

If Hudson Westbrook has won New Male Artist of the Year at the 61st Academy of Country Music Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 4817.1%

IY (No) 4.6%

Adj IY 2409%

CRI 32

Overround -0.2%

▶ Full indicator table (5)

Indicator	Value	Meaning
IY (Yes)	4817.1%	Annualized return if held to expiry, YES side
IY (No)	4.6%	Annualized return, NO side
Adj IY	2409%	Risk-adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets and high friction
CRI	32	Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market approaches resolution
Overround	-0.2%	Multi-outcome arb signal across the event family

Regime

Label

neutral

Score

0.5

Spread

7¢

Computed

4/30/2026, 5:00:50 PM

Indicators computed 4/30/2026, 3:08:09 PM

Trade

View on kalshi →sf trade KXACMANMAOTY-68-HUD yes 100

Related concepts

Implied Yield →Cliff Risk Index →

Resolution rules

Indicators

Regime

Trade

Related concepts

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