What is the current probability for "2026 Academy of Country Music Award for Song of the Year?"?

This prediction market is currently priced at 83¢ (83% implied probability) on Kalshi. It closes on December 31, 2026. 245 days remaining.

What is the implied yield on "2026 Academy of Country Music Award for Song of the Year?"?

The annualized implied yield on the YES side is 58.0% and 383.2% on the NO side. Implied yield measures the annualized return if the contract is held to expiry and resolves in your favor.

Where can I trade "2026 Academy of Country Music Award for Song of the Year?"?

This market trades on Kalshi, a US-regulated prediction market exchange. You can also analyze it with SimpleFunctions — AI-powered indicators, regime detection, and autonomous trading across both venues.

2026 Academy of Country Music Award for Song of the Year?

Name: SimpleFunctions
Author: SimpleFunctions

Prediction markets currently give a 83% probability that 2026 Academy of Country Music Award for Song of the Year?. This contract trades at 83¢ on Kalshi, closing December 31, 2026.

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83¢

Bid/Ask 72/85¢·Spread 13¢·Vol $62.5·OI $354.89·Closes Dec 31, 2026·245d remaining

KXACMASOTY-68B-CHO

7-day price16 snapshots · 2 regime

72¢72¢ current

Apr 231¢Apr 29

Resolution rules

If Choosin" Texas has won Song of the Year at the 61st Academy of Country Music Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 58.0%

IY (No) 383.2%

Adj IY 192%

CRI 3

▶ Full indicator table (4)

Indicator	Value	Meaning
IY (Yes)	58.0%	Annualized return if held to expiry, YES side
IY (No)	383.2%	Annualized return, NO side
Adj IY	192%	Risk-adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets and high friction
CRI	3	Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market approaches resolution

Regime

Label

neutral

Score

0.5

Spread

13¢

Computed

4/30/2026, 5:00:07 PM

Indicators computed 4/30/2026, 4:53:09 PM

Trade

View on kalshi →sf trade KXACMASOTY-68B-CHO yes 100

Related concepts

Implied Yield →Cliff Risk Index →

Resolution rules

Indicators

Regime

Trade

Related concepts

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