What is the current probability for "Will ICEMAN by Drake have At least 14 tracks?"?

This prediction market is currently priced at 95¢ (95% implied probability) on Kalshi. It closes on May 30, 2026. 32 days remaining.

What is the implied yield on "Will ICEMAN by Drake have At least 14 tracks?"?

The annualized implied yield on the YES side is 265.5% and 4825.9% on the NO side. Implied yield measures the annualized return if the contract is held to expiry and resolves in your favor.

Where can I trade "Will ICEMAN by Drake have At least 14 tracks?"?

This market trades on Kalshi, a US-regulated prediction market exchange. You can also analyze it with SimpleFunctions — AI-powered indicators, regime detection, and autonomous trading across both venues.

Will ICEMAN by Drake have At least 14 tracks?

Name: SimpleFunctions
Author: SimpleFunctions

Prediction markets currently give a 95% probability that Will ICEMAN by Drake have At least 14 tracks?. This contract trades at 95¢ on Kalshi, closing May 30, 2026.

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95¢

Bid/Ask 81/90¢·Spread 9¢·Vol $0·OI $130.61·Closes May 30, 2026·32d remaining

KXALBUMTRACKS-26-ICE-14

7-day price33 snapshots · 5 regime

81¢81¢ current

Apr 2268¢Apr 28

Resolution rules

If "ICEMAN" by Drake has At least 14 tracks on the album, then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 265.5%

IY (No) 4825.9%

Adj IY 4826%

CRI 4

RV 152%

VR 0.84

▶ Full indicator table (8)

Indicator	Value	Meaning
IY (Yes)	265.5%	Annualized return if held to expiry, YES side
IY (No)	4825.9%	Annualized return, NO side
Adj IY	4826%	Risk-adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets and high friction
CRI	4	Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market approaches resolution
RV	152%	Realized Volatility — annualized stddev from 48h price history
VR	0.84	Vol Ratio — realized vol / theoretical max. >0.8 very active, <0.1 dead
IAR	0.5/h	Info Arrival Rate — meaningful price changes per hour (48h)
Overround	4.3%	Multi-outcome arb signal across the event family

Regime

Label

neutral

Score

0.5

Spread

9¢

Computed

4/28/2026, 8:09:01 AM

Indicators computed 4/28/2026, 8:08:26 AM

Trade

View on kalshi →sf trade KXALBUMTRACKS-26-ICE-14 yes 100

Related concepts

Implied Yield →Cliff Risk Index →Realized Volatility →

Resolution rules

Indicators

Regime

Trade

Related concepts

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