What is the current probability for "Will ICEMAN by Drake have At least 20 tracks?"?

This prediction market is currently priced at 47¢ (47% implied probability) on Kalshi. It closes on May 30, 2026. 32 days remaining.

What is the implied yield on "Will ICEMAN by Drake have At least 20 tracks?"?

The annualized implied yield on the YES side is 1846.9% and 693.8% on the NO side. Implied yield measures the annualized return if the contract is held to expiry and resolves in your favor.

Where can I trade "Will ICEMAN by Drake have At least 20 tracks?"?

This market trades on Kalshi, a US-regulated prediction market exchange. You can also analyze it with SimpleFunctions — AI-powered indicators, regime detection, and autonomous trading across both venues.

Will ICEMAN by Drake have At least 20 tracks?

Name: SimpleFunctions
Author: SimpleFunctions

Prediction markets currently give a 47% probability that Will ICEMAN by Drake have At least 20 tracks?. This contract trades at 47¢ on Kalshi, closing May 30, 2026.

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47¢

Bid/Ask 38/46¢·Spread 8¢·Vol $112.72·OI $659.76·Closes May 30, 2026·32d remaining

KXALBUMTRACKS-26-ICE-20

7-day price22 snapshots · 4 regime

38¢38¢ current

Apr 2224¢Apr 27

Resolution rules

If "ICEMAN" by Drake has At least 20 tracks on the album, then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 1846.9%

IY (No) 693.8%

Adj IY 1847%

CRI 2

RV 633%

VR 1.04

▶ Full indicator table (8)

Indicator	Value	Meaning
IY (Yes)	1846.9%	Annualized return if held to expiry, YES side
IY (No)	693.8%	Annualized return, NO side
Adj IY	1847%	Risk-adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets and high friction
CRI	2	Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market approaches resolution
RV	633%	Realized Volatility — annualized stddev from 48h price history
VR	1.04	Vol Ratio — realized vol / theoretical max. >0.8 very active, <0.1 dead
IAR	0.4/h	Info Arrival Rate — meaningful price changes per hour (48h)
Overround	4.3%	Multi-outcome arb signal across the event family

Regime

Label

neutral

Score

0.5

Spread

8¢

Computed

4/28/2026, 8:09:02 AM

Indicators computed 4/28/2026, 8:08:26 AM

Trade

View on kalshi →sf trade KXALBUMTRACKS-26-ICE-20 yes 100

Related concepts

Implied Yield →Cliff Risk Index →Realized Volatility →

Resolution rules

Indicators

Regime

Trade

Related concepts

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