Name: SimpleFunctions
Author: SimpleFunctions

Question 1

What is the current probability for "Will Michael Jackson, have above 203,065,454 Streams on Luminate from April 17 - April 23, 2026?"?

Accepted Answer

This prediction market is currently priced at 96¢ (96% implied probability) on Kalshi. It closes on April 25, 2026. 2 days remaining.

Question 2

What is the implied yield on "Will Michael Jackson, have above 203,065,454 Streams on Luminate from April 17 - April 23, 2026?"?

Accepted Answer

The annualized implied yield on the YES side is 1520.4% and 100000.0% on the NO side. Implied yield measures the annualized return if the contract is held to expiry and resolves in your favor.

Question 3

Where can I trade "Will Michael Jackson, have above 203,065,454 Streams on Luminate from April 17 - April 23, 2026?"?

Accepted Answer

This market trades on Kalshi, a US-regulated prediction market exchange. You can also analyze it with SimpleFunctions — AI-powered indicators, regime detection, and autonomous trading across both venues.

Indicator	Value	Meaning
IY (Yes)	1520.4%	Annualized return if held to expiry, YES side
IY (No)	>100,000%	Annualized return, NO side
Adj IY	47310%	Risk-adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets and high friction
CRI	13	Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market approaches resolution
LAS	0.05	Liquidity Availability Score

Will Michael Jackson, have above 203,065,454 Streams on Luminate from April 17 - April 23, 2026?

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