What is the current probability for "Bremen at Stuttgart: Totals"?

This prediction market is currently priced at 43¢ (43% implied probability) on Kalshi. It closes on May 10, 2026. 16 days remaining.

What is the implied yield on "Bremen at Stuttgart: Totals"?

The annualized implied yield on the YES side is 2859.8% and 1765.5% on the NO side. Implied yield measures the annualized return if the contract is held to expiry and resolves in your favor.

Where can I trade "Bremen at Stuttgart: Totals"?

This market trades on Kalshi, a US-regulated prediction market exchange. You can also analyze it with SimpleFunctions — AI-powered indicators, regime detection, and autonomous trading across both venues.

Bremen at Stuttgart: Totals

Name: SimpleFunctions
Author: SimpleFunctions

Prediction markets currently give a 43% probability that Bremen at Stuttgart: Totals. This contract trades at 43¢ on Kalshi, closing May 10, 2026.

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43¢

Bid/Ask 44/46¢·Spread 2¢·Vol $10·OI $15·Closes May 10, 2026·16d remaining

KXBUNDESLIGATOTAL-26APR26VFBSVW-3

7-day price19 snapshots · 5 regime

44¢43¢ current

Apr 2141¢Apr 24

Resolution rules

If Bremen and Stuttgart collectively score more than 3.5 total goals in the Stuttgart vs Bremen professional Bundesliga soccer game originally scheduled for Apr 26, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 2859.8%

IY (No) 1765.5%

Adj IY 2860%

CRI 1

RV 184%

VR 0.34

▶ Full indicator table (8)

Indicator	Value	Meaning
IY (Yes)	2859.8%	Annualized return if held to expiry, YES side
IY (No)	1765.5%	Annualized return, NO side
Adj IY	2860%	Risk-adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets and high friction
CRI	1	Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market approaches resolution
RV	184%	Realized Volatility — annualized stddev from 48h price history
VR	0.34	Vol Ratio — realized vol / theoretical max. >0.8 very active, <0.1 dead
IAR	0.7/h	Info Arrival Rate — meaningful price changes per hour (48h)
Overround	1.1%	Multi-outcome arb signal across the event family

Regime

Label

neutral

Score

0.5

Spread

2¢

Computed

4/24/2026, 7:52:36 AM

Indicators computed 4/24/2026, 7:38:16 AM

Trade

View on kalshi →sf trade KXBUNDESLIGATOTAL-26APR26VFBSVW-3 yes 100

Related concepts

Implied Yield →Cliff Risk Index →Realized Volatility →