What is the current probability for "Riestra vs Montevideo City Winner?"?

This prediction market is currently priced at 30¢ (30% implied probability) on Kalshi. It closes on May 13, 2026. 16 days remaining.

What is the implied yield on "Riestra vs Montevideo City Winner?"?

The annualized implied yield on the YES side is 6360.6% and 870.1% on the NO side. Implied yield measures the annualized return if the contract is held to expiry and resolves in your favor.

Where can I trade "Riestra vs Montevideo City Winner?"?

This market trades on Kalshi, a US-regulated prediction market exchange. You can also analyze it with SimpleFunctions — AI-powered indicators, regime detection, and autonomous trading across both venues.

Riestra vs Montevideo City Winner?

Name: SimpleFunctions
Author: SimpleFunctions

Prediction markets currently give a 30% probability that Riestra vs Montevideo City Winner?. This contract trades at 30¢ on Kalshi, closing May 13, 2026.

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30¢mid

Bid/Ask 27/33¢·Spread 6¢·Vol $0·OI $0·Closes May 13, 2026·16d remaining

KXCONMEBOLSUDGAME-26APR29RIETOR-TIE

7-day price7 snapshots · 2 regime

29¢27¢ current

Apr 2627¢Apr 27

Resolution rules

If Tie wins the Riestra vs Montevideo City professional CONMEBOL Sudamericana soccer game originally scheduled for Apr 29, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 6360.6%

IY (No) 870.1%

Adj IY 3180%

CRI 3

Overround -0.1%

▶ Full indicator table (5)

Indicator	Value	Meaning
IY (Yes)	6360.6%	Annualized return if held to expiry, YES side
IY (No)	870.1%	Annualized return, NO side
Adj IY	3180%	Risk-adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets and high friction
CRI	3	Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market approaches resolution
Overround	-0.1%	Multi-outcome arb signal across the event family

Regime

Label

neutral

Score

0.5

Spread

6¢

Computed

4/28/2026, 9:39:53 AM

Indicators computed 4/28/2026, 9:38:24 AM

Trade

View on kalshi →sf trade KXCONMEBOLSUDGAME-26APR29RIETOR-TIE yes 100

Related concepts

Implied Yield →Cliff Risk Index →

Resolution rules

Indicators

Regime

Trade

Related concepts

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