SimpleFunctions

DoorDash Inc. report above 1020 million total orders in Q2 2026

above 1020 million is priced at 5¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 5¢ bid, 6¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #5 of 7 inside Will DoorDash Inc. report above.

Price history

5¢ current

+2¢
0¢10¢
May 20, 2026May 25, 2026

Contract brief

If DoorDash Inc. reports above 1020000000 total orders in Q2 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

above 1020 million

Rank

#5 of 7

Leader

above 940 million 93¢

Range

1¢-93¢

Family volume

$2

Identifier

KXDASH-26AUGORDERS-P1020000000

May 28, 2026, 9:08 PM UTC · 17m ago

Implied probability

5¢
Latest venue quote
May 28, 2026, 9:08 PM UTC · 17m ago

Bid

Ask

Spread

Reported volume

$4K

Family rank

#5 of 7

7 outcomes · Will DoorDash Inc. report above

Closes

Sep 4, 2026

Family volume

$2

Orderbook snapshot

5 / 6¢

Kalshi
1¢ spread
BidSize
100¢3.2K
5¢2.6K
3¢2.0K
2¢49
AskSize
6¢4.4K
9¢250
39¢40
40¢1.0K
69¢3.5K

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If DoorDash Inc. reports above 1020000000 total orders in Q2 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Sep 4, 2026

Identifier

KXDASH-26AUGORDERS-P1020000000

SF Signal
SF Index
3504.19
Regime
neutral

Cross-venue match

Similar contract on polymarket at .

View counterpart

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

7008.4%

IY (No)

19.4%

Adj IY

3504%

CRI

19

Overround

1.2%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

7008.4%
19.4%
Adj IY
3504%
19
Overround
1.2%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.