SimpleFunctions

DoorDash Inc. report above 940 million total orders in Q2 2026

above 940 million is priced at 98¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 96¢ bid, 98¢ ask, 2¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 7 inside Will DoorDash Inc. report above.

Price history

98¢ current

+95¢
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢
May 20, 2026May 24, 2026

Contract brief

If DoorDash Inc. reports above 940000000 total orders in Q2 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

above 940 million

Rank

#1 of 7

Leader

above 940 million 96¢

Range

1¢-96¢

Family volume

$785

Identifier

KXDASH-26AUGORDERS-P940000000

May 25, 2026, 3:38 AM UTC · 7m ago

Implied probability

98¢
Latest venue quote
May 25, 2026, 3:38 AM UTC · 7m ago

Bid

96¢

Ask

98¢

Spread

24h volume

$200

Family rank

#1 of 7

7 outcomes · Will DoorDash Inc. report above

Closes

Sep 4, 2026

Family volume

$785

Orderbook snapshot

96 / 98¢

Kalshi
2¢ spread
BidSize
94¢83
93¢250
80¢100
62¢53
AskSize
98¢100
99¢380

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If DoorDash Inc. reports above 940000000 total orders in Q2 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Sep 4, 2026

Identifier

KXDASH-26AUGORDERS-P940000000

SF Signal
SF Index
4265.60
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

14.8%

IY (No)

8531.2%

Adj IY

4266%

CRI

24

Overround

1.4%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

14.8%
8531.2%
Adj IY
4266%
24
Overround
1.4%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.