SimpleFunctions

DoorDash Inc. report above 960 million total orders in Q2 2026

above 960 million is priced at 87¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 85¢ bid, 91¢ ask, 6¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 7 inside Will DoorDash Inc. report above.

Price history

87¢ current

+6¢
80¢90¢
Jun 28, 2026Jul 28, 2026

Contract brief

If DoorDash Inc. reports above 960000000 total orders in Q2 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

above 960 million

Rank

#2 of 7

Leader

above 940 million 95¢

Range

1¢-95¢

Family volume

$392

Identifier

KXDASH-26AUGORDERS-P960000000

Jul 28, 2026, 9:08 PM UTC · 28m ago

Implied probability

87¢
Latest venue quote
Jul 28, 2026, 9:08 PM UTC · 28m ago

Bid

85¢

Ask

91¢

Spread

24h volume

$353

Family rank

#2 of 7

7 outcomes · Will DoorDash Inc. report above

Closes

Sep 4, 2026

Family volume

$392

Orderbook snapshot

85 / 91¢

Kalshi
6¢ spread
BidSize
85¢5
84¢32
83¢200
79¢386
33¢1.1K
AskSize
91¢378
96¢6
97¢1
98¢23
99¢122

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If DoorDash Inc. reports above 960000000 total orders in Q2 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Sep 4, 2026

Identifier

KXDASH-26AUGORDERS-P960000000

SF Signal
SF Index
5449.87
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

169.7%

IY (No)

5449.9%

Adj IY

5450%

CRI

6

RV

87%

VR

0.64

Regime

neutral

Score

0.568

Observability

high

Event type

financial

Full indicator table

169.7%
5449.9%
Adj IY
5450%
6
RV
87%
VR
0.64
IAR
0.3/h
Overround
1.0%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.