Brentford at Manchester United: Both Teams to Score
Prediction markets currently give a 66% probability that Brentford at Manchester United: Both Teams to Score. This contract trades at 66¢ on Kalshi, closing May 11, 2026. This market shows extreme dysfunction with a 0¢ bid price implying 0% probability despite a 30¢ spread and astronomical 1801.4% implied yield on the Yes side, indicating severe mispricing or liquidity collapse.
Analysis
This market shows extreme dysfunction with a 0¢ bid price implying 0% probability despite a 30¢ spread and astronomical 1801.4% implied yield on the Yes side, indicating severe mispricing or liquidity collapse. The complete absence of volume and open interest combined with a sharp 19¢ to 1¢ price drop over seven days suggests the market has effectively died, with no participants willing to trade at current levels. With 25 days to expiry and a Cliff Risk Index of 1, this appears to be a stranded market where the pricing mechanism has broken down entirely rather than a genuine arbitrage opportunity.
Resolution rules
If Manchester United and Brentford both score goals in the Manchester United vs Brentford EPL match originally scheduled for Apr 27, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Indicators
Regime
Trade
sf trade KXEPLBTTS-26APR27MUNBRE yes 100