What is the current probability for "Brentford vs West Ham Winner?"?

This prediction market is currently priced at 24¢ (24% implied probability) on Kalshi. It closes on May 16, 2026. 22 days remaining.

What is the implied yield on "Brentford vs West Ham Winner?"?

The annualized implied yield on the YES side is 5223.2% and 520.9% on the NO side. Implied yield measures the annualized return if the contract is held to expiry and resolves in your favor.

Where can I trade "Brentford vs West Ham Winner?"?

This market trades on Kalshi, a US-regulated prediction market exchange. You can also analyze it with SimpleFunctions — AI-powered indicators, regime detection, and autonomous trading across both venues.

Brentford vs West Ham Winner?

Name: SimpleFunctions
Author: SimpleFunctions

Prediction markets currently give a 24% probability that Brentford vs West Ham Winner?. This contract trades at 24¢ on Kalshi, closing May 16, 2026. This micro-liquidity market shows extreme pricing distortion with a 28¢ Brentford win probability that has collapsed 6¢ in seven days, now trading at just $20 open interest and $16 daily volume.

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24¢

Bid/Ask 24/26¢·Spread 2¢·Vol $1.29·OI $106.04·Closes May 16, 2026·22d remaining

KXEPLGAME-26MAY02BREWHU-WHU

7-day price51 snapshots · 3 regime

24¢24¢ current

Apr 164¢Apr 23

Analysis

4d ago

This micro-liquidity market shows extreme pricing distortion with a 28¢ Brentford win probability that has collapsed 6¢ in seven days, now trading at just $20 open interest and $16 daily volume. The 4519.7% implied yield on the Yes side is a classic sign of illiquidity-driven mispricing rather than genuine edge, compounded by a wide 4¢ spread and moderate cliff risk (3/10). With 27 days to expiry and neutral regime conditions, this market lacks sufficient depth to reliably arbitrage the apparent underpricing of West Ham's chances.

Resolution rules

If West Ham wins the Brentford vs West Ham professional EPL soccer game originally scheduled for May 2, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 5223.2%

IY (No) 520.9%

Adj IY 2612%

CRI 3

Overround -0.0%

▶ Full indicator table (5)

Indicator	Value	Meaning
IY (Yes)	5223.2%	Annualized return if held to expiry, YES side
IY (No)	520.9%	Annualized return, NO side
Adj IY	2612%	Risk-adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets and high friction
CRI	3	Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market approaches resolution
Overround	-0.0%	Multi-outcome arb signal across the event family

Regime

Label

neutral

Score

0.5

Spread

2¢

Computed

4/24/2026, 10:55:44 AM

Indicators computed 4/24/2026, 10:53:43 AM

Trade

View on kalshi →sf trade KXEPLGAME-26MAY02BREWHU-WHU yes 100

Related concepts

Implied Yield →Cliff Risk Index →