Wolverhampton vs Sunderland Winner?

Prediction markets currently give a 42% probability that Wolverhampton vs Sunderland Winner?. This contract trades at 42¢ on Kalshi, closing May 16, 2026. This market shows extreme illiquidity with only $25 in 24h volume and open interest, creating a highly unstable pricing environment where the 44¢ Wolverhampton winner price may not reflect true odds.

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42¢
Bid/Ask 40/42¢·Spread 2¢·Vol $1,112.04·OI $3,813.14·Closes May 16, 2026·22d remaining
KXEPLGAME-26MAY02WOLSUN-SUN
7-day price95 snapshots · 25 regime
43¢40¢ current
Apr 164¢Apr 24

Analysis

5d ago

This market shows extreme illiquidity with only $25 in 24h volume and open interest, creating a highly unstable pricing environment where the 44¢ Wolverhampton winner price may not reflect true odds. The implied yield of 2004% on the Yes side is extraordinarily high and likely driven by the minimal liquidity rather than genuine edge, while the 7-day price collapse from 6¢ to 40¢ suggests either significant new information or thin-market volatility rather than fundamental repricing. With 27 days to expiry and a Cliff Risk Index of 2, traders should be cautious about the reliability of this quote and the difficulty of exiting positions given the $25 liquidity depth.

Resolution rules

If Sunderland wins the Wolverhampton vs Sunderland professional EPL soccer game originally scheduled for May 2, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 2474.1%
IY (No) 1099.6%
Adj IY 1175%
CRI 2
Overround -0.1%
LAS 0.05
▶ Full indicator table (6)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)2474.1%
IY (No)1099.6%
Adj IY1175%
CRI2
Overround-0.1%
LAS0.05

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Spread
2¢
Computed
4/24/2026, 10:56:09 AM
Has orderbookIndicators computed 4/24/2026, 10:53:43 AM

Trade

View on kalshisf trade KXEPLGAME-26MAY02WOLSUN-SUN yes 100

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