Wolverhampton vs Sunderland Winner?
Prediction markets currently give a 30% probability that Wolverhampton vs Sunderland Winner?. This contract trades at 30¢ on Kalshi, closing May 16, 2026. This market exhibits extreme illiquidity with zero volume and open interest despite a massive 4532% implied yield on the Yes side, suggesting the 14¢ price may be stale or artificially low given the wide 9¢ spread.
Analysis
This market exhibits extreme illiquidity with zero volume and open interest despite a massive 4532% implied yield on the Yes side, suggesting the 14¢ price may be stale or artificially low given the wide 9¢ spread. The resolution criteria appears misaligned with the title—the market actually resolves Yes only on a tie outcome, not a Wolverhampton win, which likely explains the depressed pricing and lack of trading activity. With 27 days to expiry and a realized volatility of 4999%, this contract carries substantial cliff risk (score of 3) and should be approached cautiously given the potential for sharp repricing once liquidity returns.
Resolution rules
If Tie wins the Wolverhampton vs Sunderland professional EPL soccer game originally scheduled for May 2, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Indicators
Regime
Trade
sf trade KXEPLGAME-26MAY02WOLSUN-TIE yes 100