Will Liverpool be Relegated from English Premier League in 2025-26 Season?
Prediction markets currently give a 4% probability that Will Liverpool be Relegated from English Premier League in 2025-26 Season?. This contract trades at 4¢ on Kalshi, closing May 25, 2026. This market is essentially dead with only $6 open interest and zero 24-hour volume, making the 4¢ price unreliable for serious prediction purposes.
Analysis
This market is essentially dead with only $6 open interest and zero 24-hour volume, making the 4¢ price unreliable for serious prediction purposes. The extreme 22,993% implied yield on the Yes side reflects the illiquidity rather than genuine market conviction—Liverpool's relegation odds are genuinely minuscule given their recent performance and financial resources. With 38 days to expiry and a high Cliff Risk Index of 24, any remaining positions face significant execution risk as the market approaches resolution.
Resolution rules
If Liverpool is relegated from English Premier League in 2025-26 season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Indicators
Regime
Trade
sf trade KXEPLRELEGATION-26-LFC yes 100