Will Crystal Palace finish in the top 6 in the 2025-26 English Premier League season?
Prediction markets currently give a 19% probability that Will Crystal Palace finish in the top 6 in the 2025-26 English Premier League season?. This contract trades at 19¢ on Kalshi, closing May 25, 2026. Crystal Palace's top-6 finish probability is priced at an extremely depressed 3¢ with virtually no trading activity ($0 in 24h volume), suggesting this market lacks liquidity and may not reflect true odds.
Analysis
Crystal Palace's top-6 finish probability is priced at an extremely depressed 3¢ with virtually no trading activity ($0 in 24h volume), suggesting this market lacks liquidity and may not reflect true odds. The astronomical 31010.5% implied yield on the Yes side indicates severe mispricing or illiquidity distortion rather than genuine market consensus, particularly concerning given the 38-day expiry window and $1,904 open interest concentrated at this single price point. The 3¢ bid-ask spread combined with zero recent volume and missing cross-venue data on Polymarket raises questions about whether this contract is actively traded or simply stale.
Also on polymarket at —¢
Resolution rules
If Crystal Palace is a Top 6 Finisher in the 2025-26 English Premier League season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Indicators
Regime
Trade
sf trade KXEPLTOP6-26-CRY yes 100