Will Everton finish in the top 6 in the 2025-26 English Premier League season?
Prediction markets currently give a 16% probability that Will Everton finish in the top 6 in the 2025-26 English Premier League season?. This contract trades at 16¢ on Kalshi, closing May 25, 2026. This market shows extreme illiquidity and a massive cross-venue arbitrage gap, with Kalshi pricing Everton's top-6 finish at 23¢ versus just 3¢ on Polymarket—a 20-cent spread suggesting significant pricing disagreement or Kalshi liquidity constraints.
Analysis
This market shows extreme illiquidity and a massive cross-venue arbitrage gap, with Kalshi pricing Everton's top-6 finish at 23¢ versus just 3¢ on Polymarket—a 20-cent spread suggesting significant pricing disagreement or Kalshi liquidity constraints. The 39¢ bid-ask spread on Kalshi combined with only $2,915 open interest and zero 24-hour volume indicates minimal trading activity, making the 23¢ price potentially unreliable. The dramatic 7-day collapse from 16¢ to 2¢ on Polymarket (versus Kalshi's current 23¢) suggests recent bearish sentiment on Everton's prospects, though the divergence between venues warrants caution before treating either price as authoritative.
Also on polymarket at —¢
Resolution rules
If Everton is a Top 6 Finisher in the 2025-26 English Premier League season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Indicators
Regime
Trade
sf trade KXEPLTOP6-26-EVE yes 100