Will Liverpool finish in the top 6 in the 2025-26 English Premier League season?
Prediction markets currently give a 96% probability that Will Liverpool finish in the top 6 in the 2025-26 English Premier League season?. This contract trades at 96¢ on Kalshi, closing May 25, 2026. This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume and only $3,238 open interest, making the 89¢ price potentially unreliable despite the wide 8¢ spread.
Analysis
This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume and only $3,238 open interest, making the 89¢ price potentially unreliable despite the wide 8¢ spread. The astronomical 4084% implied yield on the "No" side signals severe mispricing—betting against Liverpool finishing top-6 would require extraordinary conviction given their historical consistency, suggesting the market may be artificially skewed by minimal trading activity. With 38 days to resolution and a Cliff Risk Index of 4, the price has already moved 6¢ upward over seven days, but the neutral regime score and negligible liquidity mean this contract is best avoided until deeper order flow materializes.
Also on polymarket at 53¢(Δ +43¢)
Resolution rules
If Liverpool is a Top 6 Finisher in the 2025-26 English Premier League season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Indicators
Regime
Trade
sf trade KXEPLTOP6-26-LFC yes 100