What is the current probability for "Liverpool at Manchester United: Totals"?

This prediction market is currently priced at 89¢ (89% implied probability) on Kalshi. It closes on May 17, 2026. 23 days remaining.

What is the implied yield on "Liverpool at Manchester United: Totals"?

The annualized implied yield on the YES side is 1842.6% and 1337.1% on the NO side. Implied yield measures the annualized return if the contract is held to expiry and resolves in your favor.

Where can I trade "Liverpool at Manchester United: Totals"?

This market trades on Kalshi, a US-regulated prediction market exchange. You can also analyze it with SimpleFunctions — AI-powered indicators, regime detection, and autonomous trading across both venues.

Liverpool at Manchester United: Totals

Name: SimpleFunctions
Author: SimpleFunctions

Prediction markets currently give a 89% probability that Liverpool at Manchester United: Totals. This contract trades at 89¢ on Kalshi, closing May 17, 2026.

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89¢

Bid/Ask 46/87¢·Spread 41¢·Vol $0·OI $272.89·Closes May 17, 2026·23d remaining

KXEPLTOTAL-26MAY03MUNLFC-1

7-day price72 snapshots · 3 regime

72¢45¢ current

Apr 211¢Apr 24

Resolution rules

If Liverpool and Manchester United collectively score more than 1.5 total goals in the Manchester United vs Liverpool professional EPL soccer game originally scheduled for May 3, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 1842.6%

IY (No) 1337.1%

Adj IY 1843%

CRI 1

RV 1941%

VR 3.71

▶ Full indicator table (8)

Indicator	Value	Meaning
IY (Yes)	1842.6%	Annualized return if held to expiry, YES side
IY (No)	1337.1%	Annualized return, NO side
Adj IY	1843%	Risk-adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets and high friction
CRI	1	Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market approaches resolution
RV	1941%	Realized Volatility — annualized stddev from 48h price history
VR	3.71	Vol Ratio — realized vol / theoretical max. >0.8 very active, <0.1 dead
IAR	1.6/h	Info Arrival Rate — meaningful price changes per hour (48h)
Overround	0.5%	Multi-outcome arb signal across the event family

Regime

Label

neutral

Score

0.5

Spread

41¢

Computed

4/24/2026, 8:34:32 AM

Indicators computed 4/24/2026, 8:23:44 AM

Trade

View on kalshi →sf trade KXEPLTOTAL-26MAY03MUNLFC-1 yes 100

Related concepts

Implied Yield →Cliff Risk Index →Realized Volatility →

Resolution rules

Indicators

Regime

Trade

Related concepts

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