Miami Grand Prix: Top 10 Finishers
Prediction markets currently give a 84% probability that Miami Grand Prix: Top 10 Finishers. This contract trades at 84¢ on Kalshi, closing May 17, 2026. This market shows extreme illiquidity with only $6 open interest and zero 24-hour volume, making the 84¢ price potentially unreliable despite the seemingly reasonable probability for a top driver finishing top 10.
Analysis
This market shows extreme illiquidity with only $6 open interest and zero 24-hour volume, making the 84¢ price potentially unreliable despite the seemingly reasonable probability for a top driver finishing top 10. The 373.8% annualized yield on the Yes side and massive 8¢ spread suggest significant uncertainty or pricing inefficiency, though the recent 4¢ price decline over seven days indicates modest downward pressure. With 31 days to expiry and a Cliff Risk Index of 3, this contract carries meaningful event risk, and traders should be cautious of the wide bid-ask spread when entering positions.
Resolution rules
If Max Verstappen finishes in the top 10 in the Miami Grand Prix originally scheduled for May 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Indicators
Regime
Trade
sf trade KXF1TOP10-MIAGP26-VER yes 100